A-Shares Attempting a Rebound; Watch for Reversal Signals

CSI 300 Increased by 1.19%

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This week, against the backdrop of an attempted rebound, the A-share market showed relatively volatile performance, requiring investors to closely monitor potential reversal signals. The SSE Index(000001) closed at 3,346.72 points, with a weekly increase of 1.3%, still 8.92% off its annual high, indicating the market remains at a relatively low level. The CSI 300(000300)also rose by 1.19%, closing at 3,939.01 points. Although it failed to break through its one-year high, market sentiment has somewhat recovered. In Shenzhen, the Shenzhen Index(399001)and ChiNext(399006) increased by 1.64% and 1.88% respectively, with ChiNext showing particularly notable rebounds.

Hong Kong stocks saw the Hang Seng Index(HSI) rise by 7.04% this week, with trading volume significantly increasing, especially on the last day which was substantially higher than the 50-day moving average by 63.54%. With the HSI breaking through the short-term moving average resistance line, if trading volume continues to support, the rebound momentum is expected to continue.

The US stock market performed relatively mildly, with the Nasdaq Composite(0NDQC) currently up 2.16%, though it hasn’t reached new highs, being about 1.28% off its one-year peak. The S & P 500 Index(0S&P5) rose by 1.48%, maintaining a steady short-term trend, but markets remain vigilant about economic uncertainties. The Fed’s tightening policy and news of Trump potentially imposing tariffs again have further heightened concerns about the future.

From macroeconomic data, US January CPI rose by 3% year-over-year, slightly above market expectations of 2.9%, showing inflation remains stubborn, possibly affecting the Fed’s monetary policy. Meanwhile, an increase in US crude oil inventories put downward pressure on oil prices. While the job market showed stability, initial jobless claims were slightly higher than expected, indicating some uncertainty in the labor market.

The strongest industry this week was Leisure-Movies & Related(G7810IG.CN), with a weekly increase of as high as 35.03%, among these, Beijing Enlight Mda.’A'(300251) saw a weekly increase of as high as 148.78%. Followed by Consumer Svcs-Education(G8240IG.CN) and Comp Sftwr-Spec Enterprs(G2761IG.CN), rising by 19.69% and 18.5% respectively. These industries’ strong performances indicate that consumer and tech sectors still hold considerable appeal in the current market.

The TOP33 list had an average gain of -1.94% this week, with 12 stocks rising and 21 falling. Among individual stocks, Will Semiconductor ‘A'(603501) stood out with a gain of 16.07%. As an electronic-semiconductor manufacturer, its O’Neil Score is 78, RS Rating 84, EPS Rating 84, and industry ranking 28, suggesting it is in a relatively strong sector. An Accumulation/Distribution Rating of 77 indicates significant capital inflows, supporting the stock price’s upward trend.

Overall, although there are signs of short-term recovery, investors should pay attention to global economic uncertainties and the sustainability of market energy, making cautious investments.

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Notice: Information contained herein is not and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy or sell securities. It is for educational purposes only.

published on February 14, 2025

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